I've argued at length elsewhere that three of the highest-profile cases of the Supreme Court's October 2021 term marked a shift away from an originalist approach to constitutional interpretation. In Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, New York State Rifle & Pistol Association, Inc. v. Bruen, and Kennedy v. Bremerton School District, the Court set forth a "history and tradition" approach to determining the scope of constitutional rights. In doing so, the Court elevated historical practices to a level at which these practices define the scope of constitutional rights. The Court pays lip service to the Constitution's text, but a close reading of these opinions reveals that the text plays no meaningful role in deciding the outcome. It is therefore a mistake to call these opinions originalist, as many have.
Enter Randy Barnett and Lawrence Solum and their recent draft article, "Originalism After Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy: The Role of History and Tradition." Barnett and Solum advance what Michael Ramsey at The Originalist Blog describes as "an important antidote to the flood of academic commentary proclaiming that the Court's recent cases aren't originalist."
From the article's abstract:
In three recent cases, the constitutional concepts of history and tradition have played important roles in the reasoning of the Supreme Court. Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization relied on history and tradition to overrule Roe v. Wade. New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen articulated a history and tradition test for the validity of laws regulating the right to bear arms recognized by the Second Amendment. Kennedy v. Bremerton School District looked to history and tradition in formulating the implementing doctrines for the First Amendment Establishment and Free Exercise Clauses.
These cases raise important questions about the Court’s approach to constitutional interpretation and construction. Do Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy represent a new theory of constitutional interpretation and construction based on history and tradition? In the alternative, should the references to history and tradition in these opinions be understood through the lens of constitutional pluralism as modalities of constitutional argument? Finally, can the use of history and tradition in Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy be reconciled with the Supreme Court’s embrace of originalism?
Part One of this article elucidates the constitutional concepts of history and tradition. Part Two lays out four distinct roles that history and tradition can play: (1) as evidence of original meaning and purpose, (2) as modalities of constitutional argument within a constitutional pluralism framework, (3) as a novel constitutional theory, which we call “historical traditionalism,” and (4) as implementing doctrines. Part Three investigates the roles of history and tradition in Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy. In Part Four articulates a comprehensive strategy for the incorporation of history and tradition in constitutional jurisprudence.
Barnett and Solum describe the use of history and tradition tests as "business as usual" for the Supreme Court, and argue that Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy "contain scant evidence of the emergence of a new approach to constitutional interpretation that would supplant either Public Meaning Originalism or Constitutional Pluralism." (p. 26). This got my attention, as I've concluded the opposite.
Walking through Barnett and Solum's analysis of Dobbs, Bruen, and Kennedy reveals the lengths one must go to in order to conclude that these cases are consistent with an originalist approach to constitutional interpretation. Despite Barnett and Solum's conclusions about the healthy state of originalism after the October 2021 term, their analysis of each case acknowledges that each opinion strays from typical originalist analysis in varying degrees. While they attempt to account for these deviations and present each case in as originalist a light as possible, they fail to demonstrate that the Court's recent decisions reflect an originalist methodology. And this is important--these were some of the biggest cases of the term, and in recent memory. If originalism isn't how the Court decides these important cases, this casts doubt on originalism's explanatory and predictive value.